Impact of Trump’s 2024 Victory on the Paris Agreement and Global Climate Action

As we all know that U.S. is a super power and the whole world reacts to U.S. actions. In technical terms, the present Trump regime has introduced a lot of noise in the whole system.

Donald Trump’s return to the U.S. presidency in 2024 has dramatically shifted global climate policies. His administration has withdrawn from the Paris Agreement (again), weakened support for renewable energy, and prioritized fossil fuel production. These changes have major implications for the world’s five largest economies (U.S., China, Germany, Japan, and India) and their commitments to the Paris Agreement.

1. United States – Climate Reversal

Key Actions by Trump Administration (2025)

  • Withdrawal from the Paris Agreement for the second time.
  • Increased fossil fuel production: Trump met with U.S. oil executives to expand drilling and exports.
  • Reduced funding for green energy: Less government support for solar, wind, and electric vehicles (EVs).
  • Loosening of Environmental Regulations: New SEC rules make sustainable investing harder.

Effect on Climate Goals

  • The previous Biden administration had committed to cutting U.S. emissions by 50-52% by 2030.
  • Under Trump, emissions are now projected to rise, making it unlikely the U.S. will meet its target.
  • U.S. influence in global climate talks has weakened, leading some countries to scale back their own commitments

Global Impact

  • The U.S. was a major funder of climate finance for developing nations—its withdrawal affects global climate projects.
  • Weaker U.S. action could slow down clean energy transitions worldwide.

2. China – Filling the Climate Leadership Gap

Key Actions

  • Doubling down on renewable energy: China installed 1,200 GW of solar and wind energy six years ahead of schedule.
  • Electric Vehicles (EVs) dominate the market: Over 50% of new car sales in China are now EVs or hybrids.
  • Pushing for green hydrogen and battery technology.
  • Hosting major climate summits to take on the U.S.'s former role.

Effect on Climate Goals

  • China pledged to peak emissions before 2030 and reach carbon neutrality by 2060.
  • Despite progress, China still relies heavily on coal, making its net-zero transition challenging.
  • Trump’s policies have little direct impact on China, but the lack of U.S. climate leadership gives China more influence in global climate policy.

3. Germany – Struggling with Economic and Climate Challenges

Key Actions

  • Continued commitment to renewable energy (54% of electricity from renewables in 2024).
  • Increased green hydrogen investment to replace fossil fuels.
  • Struggling economy (due to energy crisis and global competition).

Effect on Climate Goals

  • Germany aims for 65% emissions reduction by 2030 and carbon neutrality by 2045.
  • The U.S. withdrawal from climate finance makes it harder for Germany to fund international climate projects.
  • Trump’s pro-oil stance increases competition for European energy policies.

Global Impact

  • The European Union (EU) is now leading climate finance efforts, replacing the U.S.
  • Germany is investing in Africa’s green energy projects, helping countries transition away from fossil fuels.

4. Japan – Slow Progress in Energy Transition

Key Actions

  • Expanding offshore wind energy and investing in hydrogen fuel technology.
  • Still dependent on coal (26% of energy mix), making decarbonization slow.
  • Pushing nuclear energy to reduce emissions.

Effect on Climate Goals

  • Japan pledged a 46% emissions reduction by 2030 and carbon neutrality by 2050.
  • Trump’s fossil fuel policies could slow Japan’s transition, as cheap U.S. oil and gas become more attractive.
  • Japan is unlikely to meet its 2030 target due to its slow coal phase-out.

Global Impact

  • Japan is increasing ties with the EU on climate action, reducing reliance on U.S. policies.
  • More trade deals with China and India on clean energy technology.

5. India – Staying on Track Despite U.S. Shift

Key Actions

  • First G20 country to meet its Paris Agreement targets ahead of schedule.
  • Rapid solar energy expansion (32x growth in the last decade).
  • 500 GW renewable energy target by 2030 is on track.
  • Indian Railways aims for net-zero carbon emissions by 2030.

Effect on Climate Goals

  • India pledged a 45% reduction in emissions intensity by 2030 and net-zero by 2070.
  • Trump’s policies have little direct impact on India because India relies on domestic policies and alternative global partnerships.
  • However, reduced U.S. climate funding affects international projects in developing nations like India.

Global Impact

  • India is strengthening partnerships with the EU and China on renewable energy.
  • More focus on domestic clean energy policies rather than relying on U.S. cooperation.

Overall Summary: How Trump’s 2024 Victory Changes Global Climate Action

Country

Effect of Trump's Policies

Climate Goals Status

 United States

Fossil fuels prioritized, renewable energy funding cut, Paris Agreement exit

Falling behind

China

Becoming the new global leader in climate action, increasing renewable energy investment

On track

Germany

Economic struggles, less climate funding from U.S., but strong commitment to renewables

On track but challenged

Japan

Slow coal phase-out, increasing nuclear energy, affected by cheaper U.S. fossil fuels

Lagging

India

Meeting goals ahead of schedule, increasing renewables, less reliant on U.S.

Leading in developing nations

Final Thoughts

  • Trump’s presidency weakens the U.S.'s global climate role, leaving China and the EU to take the lead.
  • Germany and Japan struggle with energy transitions, while India continues its strong progress.
  • China benefits the most, as it fills the leadership gap left by the U.S..
  • Developing nations may suffer due to reduced U.S. climate finance.

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